EIA projects that domestic crude oil production will remain about 9.4 million barrels/day through 2025, and will rise to 11.3 million barrels/day by 2040, an increase of nearly 20%. According to the EIA, a modest decrease in transportation energy will occur despite an estimated population increase in the range of 50 to 75 million, perhaps as a result of decreased driving per capita, improvements in overall vehicle efficiency and engine performance, and government requirements to increase the use of .


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